📈 Price Action & Technical Patterns

AAVE Price analysis: This week, AAVE saw a strong bounce after retracing into its 50–61.8% Fibonacci retracement band, which typically signals solid support. The token held steady around the $256–$260 mark, gaining roughly 14% over the week. This recovery reflects renewed buying interest and appears to form a bullish pivot zone. Technical charts indicate resistance is nearing the $300–$305 range; a decisive breakout above this could unlock further upside. On the flip side, failure to stay above the $235–$245 support range may intensify bearish pressure.

📊 Derivatives & On‑Chain Activity

On‑chain metrics show whale accumulation and growing protocol usage. Data reveals increasing active loans and swelling protocol fees, signs of healthy ecosystem engagement. Notably, AAVE bounced off its 200-day moving average, adding confirmation to its bullish structure. These factors collectively suggest rising confidence among institutional players and long-term investors.

🏛️ Protocol Upgrades & Ecosystem Expansion

Aave V3 expanded its reach this week by launching on the Aptos blockchain. This move broadens Aave’s multi-chain strategy and introduces enhanced scalability. A test-run challenge with cash rewards aims to onboard developers and users alike. Additionally, integrations with Chainlink’s SVR (Security Validation and Reporting) entered phase three, securing roughly 75% of Aave’s total value locked. This bolsters risk management and signals maturation in Aave’s infrastructure.

🔮 AAVE Price analysis: Mid-Term & Long-Term Outlook

Technically, if AAVE holds above the $260 pivot, the path could lead to the $300–$364 range; some projections extend even toward $400. Over the next several days, analysts expect the $302–$305 zone to act as a key decision point. Medium-term roadmaps include V4 upgrades featuring unified liquidity across chains and a stablecoin named “GHO.” These enhancements aim to secure Aave’s position as a top DeFi ecosystem and could propel value well beyond current levels.

⚠️ Risks & Caution Points

Despite the upbeat tone, downside risks remain. Earlier in the month, large AAVE inflows to exchanges pushed prices below $230 and erased nearly $900 million in market cap. If exchange inflows continue and selling pressure mounts, the token could revisit the $200–$230 support region. Additionally, ongoing macroeconomic or regulatory headwinds could dampen sentiment. While whale accumulation offers upside bias, any sudden shift could reverse momentum.

✅ AAVE Price analysis Summary

AAVE is showing signs of renewed momentum, supported by technical strength, on-chain accumulation, and major ecosystem updates. The introduction of Aave V3 on Aptos and Chainlink expansion are tangible drivers underpinning the narrative. Watch the $260–$300 range closely—upsides could lead toward $360+ targets if sustained, but breakdowns below $245 might trigger deeper pullbacks. Overall, fundamentals look promising, though disciplined monitoring remains important.